2025 Market Outlook: What to Expect in the Used Car Market

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2025: A Turning Point for Classics?

The new year brings exciting developments for the German premium used car market. After an eventful 2024, clear trends are emerging that both buyers and collectors should take note of.

Current Market Prices at the Start of the Year

BMW

ModelAverage Price2025 TrendPotential
E38 7 Series€16,915risinghigh
E39 5 Series€8,147stablemedium
E46 3 Series€7,056slightly risingmedium

Mercedes-Benz

ModelAverage Price2025 TrendPotential
W140 S-Class€14,234strongly risingvery high
W210 E-Class€5,892stablelow

Audi

ModelAverage Price2025 TrendPotential
C6 A6€10,292slightly fallingmedium
RS4 B5€45,678strongly risingvery high

1. The 30-Year Threshold Approaches

Vehicles from the 1990s are increasingly reaching the coveted youngtimer age. The BMW E38 (built 1994-2001) and Mercedes W140 (1991-1998) are close to or have already crossed the 30-year mark. This means:

  • Growing collector interest
  • Better insurance options
  • Potential tax benefits in some countries

2. Electrification Pressure Drives Classic Demand

With stricter environmental zones and the EU combustion engine ban of 2035 on the horizon, enthusiasts are actively seeking the last true combustion engines. Particularly in demand:

  • V8 engines: BMW E38 740i, Mercedes W140 S500
  • Naturally aspirated engines: Pre-turbo era
  • Manual transmissions: Increasingly rare

3. Condition Quality Becomes Decisive

The market continues to differentiate. Top-condition vehicles achieve premium markups of up to 40%, while average examples stagnate.

ConditionPrice Premium vs. Average
Concours+60-80%
Very good+30-40%
GoodAverage
Fair-20-30%

4. Documentation as Value Driver

Complete service history becomes the most important buying argument:

  • Service book maintained: +15-25% premium
  • Original receipts available: +10-15%
  • No documentation: -20% or more

5. International Demand Rises

Buyers from the USA, Asia and the Middle East are discovering German classics. This particularly drives prices for:

  • Rare special models
  • Low mileage examples
  • Right-hand drive versions (for UK export)

Quarterly Forecast 2025

Q1 (January-March)

  • Best buying time for many models
  • Dealers clearing inventory after year-end
  • Private sellers motivated after Christmas expenses

Recommendation: Actively search, especially for E39 and W210

Q2 (April-June)

  • Spring market revival
  • Convertible season begins
  • Prices rise on average 5-8%

Recommendation: Buy sedans, sell convertibles

Q3 (July-September)

  • Summer lull with reduced activity
  • Holiday-related negotiation opportunities

Recommendation: Good opportunities for patient buyers

Q4 (October-December)

  • Decline in convertibles
  • Year-end discounts possible
  • All-wheel drive models in demand

Recommendation: Bargain hunting in December

Investment Tips for 2025

Top 3 Buy Recommendations

  1. BMW E38 740i/750i

    • Current: €16,915 average
    • Expected end of 2025: €18,500-20,000
    • Value increase: 10-18%
  2. Mercedes W140 S500/S600

    • Current: €14,234 average
    • Expected end of 2025: €16,000-18,000
    • Value increase: 12-26%
  3. Audi RS4 B5

    • Current: €45,678 average
    • Expected end of 2025: €50,000-55,000
    • Value increase: 9-20%

Caution With

  • Vehicles with unclear history
  • Heavily modified examples
  • High mileage without corresponding documentation

Risk Factors 2025

Economic Uncertainties

  • Recession fears could affect luxury market
  • Interest rate developments impact financing costs

Regulatory Risks

  • Tightening of environmental zones
  • Possible changes to youngtimer regulations

Market Risks

  • Increasing reproductions and counterfeit parts
  • Quality of available spare parts

Conclusion

2025 promises to be an exciting year for the premium used car market. Those investing now should focus on quality and think long-term. The best opportunities arise in the first quarter when prices are traditionally at their lowest.

Our recommendation: Focus on well-documented vehicles in above-average condition. The market will increasingly reward this quality.


This forecast is based on our continuous market analysis and historical data. As of: January 6, 2025