Year in Review 2024: The German Used Car Market

year-review 2024 market-analysis trends premium-vehicles

2024 Year in Review

The year 2024 was an eventful period for the German used car market in the premium segment. After the turbulent pandemic years and subsequent normalization, new patterns have emerged that we have documented in our comprehensive analysis.

Key Developments

Price Winners 2024

Top 5 Value Increases:

ModelPrice DevelopmentAverage PriceMain Driver
BMW E30 M3+18%€85,500Collector status solidified
Mercedes W124 500E+15%€42,000Porsche engineering myth
Audi RS2 Avant+14%€78,000Ultimate 90s wagon
BMW E34 M5+12%€38,500Touring versions in high demand
Mercedes W140 S600+11%€28,000V12 flagship status

Price Losers 2024

Models Under Pressure:

  1. Audi A8 D3 – -8%

    • Current average: €9,800
    • Reason: High air suspension repair costs, successor D4 more attractively priced
  2. BMW F01 7 Series – -6%

    • Current average: €15,200
    • Reason: Complex electronics, expensive spare parts
  3. Mercedes W221 S-Class – -5%

    • Reason: ABC suspension issues deter buyers

1. Youngtimer Segment Expands

Model years 1994-2004 gained increased focus. Vehicles from this era benefit from youngtimer status and show the following development:

GenerationPrice Trend 2024Demand
BMW E38/E39/E46+8-12%very high
Mercedes W140/W210+6-11%high
Audi B5/C5+5-9%rising

2. Condition Beats Mileage

Our data analysis confirms a clear trend: For vehicles over 15 years old, the correlation between mileage and price decreases significantly.

Vehicle AgeMileage/Price Correlation
5-10 years-0.78 (strong)
10-15 years-0.62 (medium)
15-20 years-0.41 (weak)
20+ years-0.29 (very weak)

3. Regional Price Differences

Bavaria and Baden-Württemberg consistently show higher prices than the national average:

RegionPrice Deviation
Bavaria+8%
Baden-Württemberg+6%
North Rhine-Westphalia+2%
Eastern German states-5%

Listing Volume 2024

The number of available vehicles has normalized after the shortages of previous years:

BrandAvg Listings/MonthChange from 2023
BMW1,189+8%
Mercedes856+12%
Audi978+6%

Investment Perspective

Recommendations for Collectors

Buy Now:

  • BMW E46 M3 (last naturally aspirated M3)
  • Mercedes W210 E55 AMG
  • Audi B5 RS4 Avant

Watch List:

  • BMW E60 M5 (V10 engine)
  • Mercedes W211 E63 AMG
  • Audi C6 RS6

Warning Signs

Be cautious with:

  • Vehicles without complete service history
  • Imports from high-mileage markets
  • Converted LPG vehicles

Forecast for 2025

Based on our data, we expect:

  1. Continuation of youngtimer rally: Further 5-10% price increase for 90s classics
  2. Mid-range stabilization: Daily drivers without collector potential stagnate
  3. E-mobility impacts market: First effects on diesel residual values visible
  4. Quality wins: Well-maintained examples continue to pull ahead

Conclusion

2024 confirmed the establishment of German premium youngtimers as a value investment. The gap between well-maintained collector vehicles and neglected daily drivers continues to widen. Buyers should focus on quality – entry prices for good examples are rising continuously.

Our tip: Invest in the best quality your budget allows. A flawless vehicle with complete history will maintain or increase its value.


All data based on our continuous market analysis of over 45,000 vehicles in 2024.